Chart o’ the Day: Stock Returns In-Line With History

Oppenheimer’s CIO Krishna Memani made a splash this week with a piece outlining 15 reasons the bull market should continue.

I thought this chart was interesting, it looks at 10-year stock returns minus bond returns and finds nothing completely out of the ordinary with this relationship right now, relative to historical periods (via Bloomberg):

Bull markets usually end after a “prolonged, pronounced” period of long-term outperformance to bonds, according to the paper. There has been no signs of investor euphoria about equities, as recent long-term relative returns are not excessive.


Bull Market Likely to Be Longest on Record, Oppenheimer Says (Bloomberg)


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