Here come the “Best Six Months”

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The best six months of the year for stocks begin at the start of November and wind down in April, when all the “Sell In May” sh*t starts again. The statistics are plain to see, it just doesn’t work every single year (what does?).

Anyway, Stephen Suttmeier’s latest technical note for Bank of America Merrill Lynch – with a killer title – makes the case for getting long now in anticipation. Who doesn’t love seasonal studies?

As always, you may click to embiggen!

Screen Shot 2014-10-17 at 2.34.59 PM

 

Source:

Kicking it old school: stats support Buy in October & Stay
Bank of America Merrill Lynch – October 17th 2014

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  2. Top Newsstuffs (October 20-26) | The Buttonwood Tree commented on Oct 26

    […] Quant study: $SPX historical 6-month rolling returns (1928-2014) | Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BA… Calculates absolute & relative return for all 6mo rolling periods: – November through April (best): +5.11% average return (outperforms control group by +1.41pp), 70.93% success rate (outperforms control group by +6.55pp) – May through October (worst): +1.93% average return (underperforms control group by -1.77pp), 63.22% success rate (underperforms control group by -1.16pp) [Previously: For best results, buy in mid-October & hold until year end] #Bullish #Sell in May & go away until Labor Day #Conventional wisdom […]

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