Beware…………………………….. it’s Correction Twitter!

Uh oh! It’s that time again – when a stock market correction turns our social network into a minefield of awful id and sophist super-ego, an unholy orchestra of crash calls and recriminations, a field of finger-pointing and frayed nerves.

There are only three worse Twitters than Correction Twitter: Olympic Games Opening Ceremony Twitter, Presidential Primary Debate Season Twitter, and the very worst, Oscar Night Twitter. After these, only Correction Twitter can hold a candle in terms of sheer repulsiveness.

The thing is, it has to run its course – like a fever, or a greyhound at a Florida panhandle race track. Our only hope is to simply ride it out and try not to block or mute too many otherwise nice people.

In order to help you navigate Correction Twitter and come out whole on the other side, I’ve compiled a list of some of the stuff you can expect to see. That way, you can smirk and go about your business, without undergoing any undue stress or aggravation.

Ten Notable Features of Correction Twitter:

1. Chest-beating: The market-neutral types who are long and short at all times, trading their heads off and likely never making any money anyway will be out in full force. This validates their investing style and, by extension, their lives. How many ways are there to say “I told you so” without actually using the words I told you so? Sit back and count ’em – you’ll encounter every possible version of this, all in bite-size 140 character bursts of schadenfreude or even the occasional tweetstorm. If only you’d have subscribed you’d be sitting pretty. Dumbass.

2. Retroactive top-calls: Did you say anything in the last few weeks that could possibly be construed as bearish? Great! Hunt down that tweet or post and recast it in this new light. Everyone’s doing it, jump in! Here’s mine, a gem from 9/30 in which I laid out the thinning of the market’s leadership bare for all to see, right at the S&P’s index highs:

Yes, I am a f***ing genius, thanks for saying so! Never mind anything else I’ve ever said, though – this was the overarching theme. Of course I’ll sign your book! Flattered!

3. Lashing out: People are losing money right now. It’s not permanent unless they’ve been running around like idiots with their portfolio. For most people, the decline will be temporary and life will go on. But that doesn’t mean it’s going to feel that way as the market sells off – especially at the speed with which it has. The last three days have broken a record for US stock market losses that dates back to November 2011. The decline has been merciless and swift and widespread. When they raided the cathouse, even the piano player got taken out.  It’s tough out there and people on the Twitter have short fuses. Perceived slights will be met with belligerence, differences of opinion will become insurmountable hurdles to civility. Try not to ruin any virtual relationships with people you respect.

4. Misattribution about the cause of the correction. Ebola! Europe! Taxes are too high! They’re also too low! Obama’s not instilling confidence! Neither is congress! And what about Putin!?! And China? Forgot if we said Europe already! What about the Dollar? And where the f*** is Mario Draghi’s Bazooka? And did you know they’re letting gays get married now? TOO EACH OTHER!?! Of course the market’s down!

5. An avalanche of statistics: What’s the average depth or duration of corrections? What’s the typical slope of the descent, or the typical rate of descent? What happens when the correction occurs in October. What if it’s in October but the September before it was positive or negative? What about corrections occurring during a specific year of the Presidential Cycle or the third phase of the moon? What about corrections during low interest rates or during wartime or when the economy is growing sub-3 percent or when a correction originates before earnings season or after the series finale of True Blood? WHAT DOES THE GODDAMN DATA SAY?

6. Levels: Everyone has their level where the selling will stop. Moving averages, prior support lines, specific times of the month, events or catalysts to come that could arrest the decline – even if you know you’re making it up, you still have one in your head. And you’re very likely to share it as though it’s a matter of fact, despite your awareness that it is not.

7. Fundamentalists will believe in technical analysis. But only temporarily. You’ll hear people who analyze balance sheets and income statements start to use the term “oversold” not understanding that they’re accidentally referring to RSI data, something you couldn’t pay them to pay attention to during a market uptrend. There are no atheists in a foxhole and there are no pure fundamentals guys in a correction. Believe me, they’re all looking at the charts. Even Bruce Berkowitz.

8. Flip-floppers. Forceful opinions will change by the day – by the hour if technical analysis is involved. Brooding bears during a morning gap-down become relieved bulls later in the afternoon as the algos outplay everyone and drive the action at the margins. Mood swings will dictate market postures and the daily back-and-forth will be hilarious. So help me god, before this is over you will see a man tweeting about 1987 one moment, and then 1982 a few hours later.

9. Exacerbation: What role does the media play in all of this? Great question. Their role is to squirt kerosene on the campfire and really stoke the flames of fear. It’s what they do best and it’s how they keep you tuned in. No reason to hate or be mad – it’s just how it is (I wrote a book on this stuff, trust me). As my friend Phil Pearlman says, “the higher the Vix, the higher the clicks.” Volatility equals ratings and pageviews – let ’em have it. There’s been a volatility drought for most of the last two years. This is an oasis in the desert.

10. Scary sh*t will be heavily retweeted. This is a guarantee – the scarier headlines will have the most RTs. Human beings have evolved, over the course of hundreds of thousands of years, through the natural selection of specific traits that aid in survival. One of those traits is alarmism. The Neoliths who saw something and said something when relaying risks back to the tribe were the ones who lived longed enough to pass on their genes. The ones who kept quiet about terrifying stuff like volcanoes and sexually aggressive wooly mammoths didn’t pass on their DNA at all, they were melted alive or mammoth-raped. When you think about it, what we are, as a species, is the distillation of the loudest screamers and most easily frightened people who ever lived. Of course we’re gonna retweet Zero Hedge and John Mauldin links!

Being aware that this is the social media environment you’re going to be in for now is half the battle. The other half is being able to contextualize it without falling into the rabbit hole entirely.

So keep your head, keep your sense of humor, and keep your time on Correction Twitter to an absolute minimum when possible.

 

This content, which contains security-related opinions and/or information, is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon in any manner as professional advice, or an endorsement of any practices, products or services. There can be no guarantees or assurances that the views expressed here will be applicable for any particular facts or circumstances, and should not be relied upon in any manner. You should consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax, and other related matters concerning any investment.

The commentary in this “post” (including any related blog, podcasts, videos, and social media) reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of the Ritholtz Wealth Management employees providing such comments, and should not be regarded the views of Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC. or its respective affiliates or as a description of advisory services provided by Ritholtz Wealth Management or performance returns of any Ritholtz Wealth Management Investments client.

References to any securities or digital assets, or performance data, are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others.

Wealthcast Media, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here: https://www.ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers

Please see disclosures here.

What's been said:

Discussions found on the web
  1. mcat breakdown commented on Aug 19

    mcat breakdown

    […]The details mentioned within the post are some of the most beneficial out there […]

  2. Unboxing Butt Plug commented on Aug 19

    Unboxing Butt Plug

    […]please check out the web-sites we comply with, which includes this one particular, as it represents our picks from the web[…]

  3. Adam and Eve Packaging commented on Aug 20

    Adam and Eve Packaging

    […]please take a look at the sites we adhere to, which includes this 1, because it represents our picks in the web[…]

  4. bandar online commented on Aug 20

    bandar online

    […]that would be the end of this write-up. Here you will uncover some sites that we think you’ll enjoy, just click the links over[…]

  5. voyance gratuite marocaine commented on Aug 20

    voyance gratuite marocaine

    […]below you’ll discover the link to some websites that we assume you ought to visit[…]

  6. airline tickets commented on Aug 22

    airline tickets

    […]check beneath, are some absolutely unrelated websites to ours, having said that, they are most trustworthy sources that we use[…]

  7. Bottega Veneta commented on Aug 22

    Bottega Veneta

    […]below you’ll uncover the link to some websites that we believe you should visit[…]

  8. Salvatore Ferragamo commented on Aug 23

    Salvatore Ferragamo

    […]here are some links to sites that we link to simply because we assume they may be worth visiting[…]

  9. Burberry commented on Aug 23

    Burberry

    […]Wonderful story, reckoned we could combine a handful of unrelated data, nevertheless genuinely really worth taking a look, whoa did 1 learn about Mid East has got a lot more problerms at the same time […]

  10. Lesbianas commented on Aug 24

    Lesbianas

    […]below you will find the link to some websites that we think you must visit[…]

  11. خرید vpn commented on Aug 24

    vpn ایفون

    Appropriate now it seems to be like Movable Type is the prime blogging platform out there right now. (from what I’ve read through) Is that what you are employing on your site?

  12. podsnezhniki commented on Aug 24

    podsnezhniki

    […]one of our visitors not too long ago suggested the following website[…]

  13. free download for windows 7 commented on Aug 25

    free download for windows 7

    […]usually posts some pretty fascinating stuff like this. If you are new to this site[…]

  14. free download for laptop pc commented on Aug 25

    free download for laptop pc

    […]always a big fan of linking to bloggers that I adore but do not get a whole lot of link really like from[…]