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Joshua M Brown
Fundamentals are only half the story
Fundamental analysts are constantly using technical analysis without realizing it.
The QE Uptrend is now broken
Think back to late 2011. So-called “1% days” in the S&P 500 – in both directions – became commonplace. Every headline from Europe had the ability to jack e-mini S&P futures up or down to a major gap opening. Volatility was elevated for a long stretch of time and heightened correlations across stocks and sectors…
Hot Links: Negative Rates
What I’m reading this morning
Chart o’ the Day: Dispersion Drops, Correlation Spikes
The recent volatility took a lot of wind out of the sails of the active management camp as correlations reached levels not seen since 2011. In the new Goldman Sachs Weekly Kickstart, David Kostin and Co make the point that macro factors make it really hard to demonstrate skill when these episodes come along. Dispersion…
do you hear it?
Cartoon
Richmond Fed Prez: Here’s why I’m on my hawk sh*t
Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker, whom we’re now calling ‘the new Richard Fisher’, was a dissenting voice this week as the FOMC voted to keep rates at emergency levels, despite the fact that the market was clearly set up to eat its vegetables. Here’s his take on why zero is no longer appropriate: “The Federal Open…
This Week on TRB
Cartoon by Harley Schwadron
QOTD: Jason Hsu on the Shanghai Bust
Harsh but fair.
bad strategy
Cartoon