Vanguard interviewed Barry for their website and it was just published this week. I liked this bit, which is good for everyone to be reminded of from time to time…
The questions we hear all the time goes back to that uncertainty issue: What’s the Federal Reserve going to do? How many rate hikes this year? Where’s the Dow going to be in 12 months? What’s your favorite stock pick?
All those questions are things that you as an investor simply are not going to be able to answer with any degree of accuracy—it’s really a crapshoot. And so, rather than guessing, wasting a whole lot of psychological emotion and energy on it, why not just recognize—and, again, it’s with great humility—recognize what we do know and what we can’t know—and try to adjust accordingly. This leads quite naturally to a portfolio that is balanced and robust enough to withstand the regular market turmoil.
Over the past 20 years, how many market booms and busts have we seen? There was the dot-com boom and bust; the 2008–2009 financial crisis. There have been several 20% pullbacks over the past few years. That is simply the normal state of affairs for U.S. markets. Investors must understand that volatility is part of investing; if you learn that truth about markets, it won’t surprise you when it finally arrives and it shouldn’t disrupt your sleep too much.
If you want to read the whole thing – and you should, it’s good – hit the jump below: