the 2.5 million year bull market in humanity

Some deep thoughts from my friend Eric Peters headed into what could be a watershed week in the short term, and a not-so-big deal in the super-longterm…

“Today we unearth our past,” said deputy president Ramaphosa, peering into Homo Naledi’s prehistoric eye sockets. 2.5mm years ago our little ancestors buried their dead in a quiet South African cave, on our 4.5bln year-old planet, spinning in our 13.8bln year-old universe. And when you pull a chart back that far, humanity’s recent bull trend is smoothly upward-sloping, accelerating, breathtaking. “We could drop a thermo-nuclear bomb on the Martian poles to heat the planet,” said Elon Musk, proposing one possible next step on our magnificent 2.5mm year journey. In the blink of eternity’s eye, we’ll inhabit Mars. It’s inevitable. But requires trial and error, risks, rewards; and those kinds of short-term charts look messy, volatile. “The world economy’s so troubled that if the Fed goes for a very quick rate hike it’s going to affect countries quite badly,” said the World Bank’s chief economist, considering his short-term chart, the bumpy end of America’s extraordinary experiment. The Fed has spent 1.5 years preparing our planet. But investors grow more nervous; and not over a 0.25% rate increase. They’re nervous because the long-term trend of central bank intervention is a flat line, filled with periods of success followed by failure, the occasional catastrophe. And after seven years during which markets obeyed global central banker’s every command, China has failed to maintain control. Draghi’s latest suggestions of more money-printing sparked a tiny equity rebound, then nothing. Japan’s policy-makers reluctantly hint at more QE; running faster to stay in place. So as the Fed meets this coming week, investors are left to consider what things are really worth, as the age of monetary manipulation slowly draws to a close. Because throughout mankind’s 2.5mm year bull trend, never has lasting value been created by minting more money. Lasting value is the product of ingenuity, innovation, invention. Even Homo Naledi knew that.


Peters Capital Group

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