via Eric Peters at wkndnotes:
“You know next yr will be the 1st since 2003 that Japanese and Chinese stocks both post double-digit gains?” asked the same Asian CIO. Both mkts are cheap, Chinese reform and Abenomic stars are aligning. Plus, the US fiscal drag is lifting, and Europe won’t contract. Then we discussed the deflationary consequences of the technological revolution rippling across the globe. The resulting low interest rates, rising corporate margins. And he asked, “In that world, isn’t the right P/E for the S&P 20?”
Josh here – If we’re going to muddle through again in 2014, with more slow economic growth and borderline deflationary employment and wage conditions, the S&P 500 is likely fully priced.
But what if we’re not just going to muddle through?
What if something bigger is happening?