Didn’t you get the memo? Housing has turned. Smart people have been telling you this for a little while now, including perhaps the most knowledgable voice on housing in the country, Bill McBride at Calculated Risk. McBride has unequivocally stated that the only debate is about the strength of the recovery, not whether it’s started. He notes that the uptick in activity and starts will be precursor to rising prices.
And now, it’s starting to become apparent to the crowd.
What does this mean for your investment thesis for the second half of this year and beyond?
Are you too bearish?
Are you forgetting that homebuyers borrowing at record-low rates really don’t give a damn about Spain or Ireland?
Are you too close-minded to the possibility of renewed confidence across America as peoples most important asset stops dropping in price?
Are you keeping in mind the fact that people who move into a new home do a ton of spending in their local communities, that they buy furniture, garden stuff, carpeting, window treatments, fences, comforters and pillows, sheets, paint, roofing materials, outdoor grills, new kitchen appliances, washers and dryers, televisions, lawn care services, alarm systems, etc?
Have you considered what that wealth effect – the real wealth effect, not the fake stock market one – could mean for everything else?
Is the housing market rebound factoring into your thinking yet?
I’m a New York City-based financial advisor at Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC. I help people invest and manage portfolios for them. For disclosure information please see here.
Get a Full Investor Curriculum: Join The Book List
Every month you'll receive 3-4 book suggestions--chosen by hand from more than 1,000 books. You'll also receive an extensive curriculum (books, articles, papers, videos) in PDF form right away.
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More Info here on that Topic: thereformedbroker.com/2012/07/15/holy-sht-homebuilders/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More on that Topic: thereformedbroker.com/2012/07/15/holy-sht-homebuilders/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More on that Topic: thereformedbroker.com/2012/07/15/holy-sht-homebuilders/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on that Topic: thereformedbroker.com/2012/07/15/holy-sht-homebuilders/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Info to that Topic: thereformedbroker.com/2012/07/15/holy-sht-homebuilders/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Here you will find 31647 additional Info to that Topic: thereformedbroker.com/2012/07/15/holy-sht-homebuilders/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More to that Topic: thereformedbroker.com/2012/07/15/holy-sht-homebuilders/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here to that Topic: thereformedbroker.com/2012/07/15/holy-sht-homebuilders/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Information on that Topic: thereformedbroker.com/2012/07/15/holy-sht-homebuilders/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] There you can find 17348 more Information on that Topic: thereformedbroker.com/2012/07/15/holy-sht-homebuilders/ […]