Not sure if this means we’re at the beginning of something or the end of something…the thing about cycles is that they’re, well, circular!
Take this for what it’s worth:
The international economic outlook is showing tentative signs of improvement, with the momentum shift spreading from the United States and Japan to other developed countries, the OECD’s December survey of growth prospects showed on Monday.
The survey picture was mixed in the euro zone, where seven countries were now “pointing towards a positive change in momentum” while the region’s overall reading dipped marginally.
The OECD said its leading indicator pointed to a “positive change … for the OECD area as a whole, driven primarily by the United States and Japan, but similar signs are beginning to emerge in a number of other developed economies.”
The reading, which seeks to flag turning points, improved for the OECD group of industrialized economies as a whole, rising 0.2 points in December to 100.4, versus its long-term average of 100.
So is this a turning point? I’d wait to see how bad Europe/China gets before becoming overly excited…